GAP Connah S Quay FCvs
Llandudno
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GAP Connah S Quay FC 2-0 Llandudno
Original prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.0% | 71.2% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 16.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 6.31 | 14.2% | 12.2% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20