UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Wednesday, 8 July 2026Last updated 12:43
GAP Connah S Quay FC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Home
LD
00
Full time
Ballkani

Ballkani

Away
WD
Llanelian Road
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
GAP Connah S Quay FC(53%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
GAP Connah S Quay FC
53%
Draw
27%
Ballkani
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
GAP Connah S Quay FC
34
Ballkani
54
Defence
GAP Connah S Quay FC
46
Ballkani
66
Momentum
GAP Connah S Quay FC
17
Ballkani
67
Danger (xG)
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.90
Ballkani
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Ballkani)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (GAP Connah S Quay FC)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Ballkani)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
LD
BallkaniBallkani
WD

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
GAP Connah S Quay FC53%
Draw27%
Ballkani21%

GAP Connah S Quay FC leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

GAP Connah S Quay FC head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Llanelian Road in mixed form (LD), while Ballkani arrive in mixed form (WD). GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Ballkani over 2 games.

The model rates GAP Connah S Quay FC's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Ballkani defence, and Ballkani's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 GAP Connah S Quay FC backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

GAP Connah S Quay FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Ballkani have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Ballkani have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: GAP Connah S Quay FC 5253%, Draw 2662%, Ballkani 2085%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

GAP Connah S Quay FC 0Draws 11 Ballkani
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC
L23
Ballkani
8 Jul 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC
D00
Ballkani

Recent form

GAP Connah S Quay FC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

L
@ Ballkani
16 Jul 2026
23
D
vs Ballkani
8 Jul 2026
00
Ballkani

Ballkani

W
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
16 Jul 2026
32
D
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
8 Jul 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?

GoalVio's model predicts GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more