GAP Connah S Quay FCvs
Airbus UK
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-0 Airbus UK
Original prediction
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.0% | 59.8% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.90 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80