GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GAP Connah S Quay FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

GAP Connah S Quay FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and GAP Connah S Quay FC hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Premier League, while GAP Connah S Quay FC holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

GAP Connah S Quay FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GAP Connah S Quay FCLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aberystwyth TownL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
GAP Connah S Quay FCAberystwyth Town
66.7Attack28.1
50.0Defence40.6
50.0Form28.1
56.2Power34.8
2.18xG0.73
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