Ganshorenvs
Stade Mouscronnois
COMPLETEDBelgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ganshoren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ganshoren 0-2 Stade Mouscronnois
Original prediction
Ganshoren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 51.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 20.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.9% | 28.2% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Ganshoren
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Ganshoren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20