GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 8/19/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seongnam FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gangwon FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Seongnam FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Seongnam FC hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the FA Cup, while Seongnam FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seongnam FC

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

11.4%

Seongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gangwon FCLDDDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Seongnam FCWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gangwon FCSeongnam FC
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power83.3
1.51xG1.73
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