Gangwon FCvs
Seongnam FC
SCHEDULEDSouth-Korea · FA Cup · 8/19/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seongnam FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gangwon FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Seongnam FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Seongnam FC hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the FA Cup, while Seongnam FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Seongnam FC
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
11.4%
Seongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00