GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 5/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gangwon FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pohang Steelers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gangwon FC hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gangwon FCWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Pohang SteelersWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
39.7Attack30.3
73.0Defence63.6
50.8Form42.4
55.4Power47.6
0.95xG0.44
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