Gangwon FCvs
Phnom Penh Crown
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gangwon FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangwon FC 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown
Original prediction
Gangwon FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.2% | 40.9% | -21.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.0% | 26.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.71 | 15.8% | 32.7% | 16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Gangwon FC
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20