Gangwon FCvsIncheon United

COMPLETED

South-Korea · K League 1 · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gangwon FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Final result

Gangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United

Original prediction

Gangwon FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.21	42.0%	42.1%	0.1 pts
Draw	3.08	30.1%	31.1%	0.9 pts
Away	3.34	27.9%	26.8%	-1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Projected Score

Gangwon FC 0–0 Incheon United

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Gangwon FC

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Gangwon FCLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Incheon UnitedWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Gangwon FCIncheon United

40.9Attack41.9

69.9Defence64.5

49.5Form45.2

54.4Power52.0

0.94xG0.68