Gangwon FCvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gangwon FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United
Original prediction
Gangwon FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.9% | 43.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30.1% | 30.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 28.0% | 26.5% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Gangwon FC 0–0 Incheon United
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Gangwon FC
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gangwon FCLDDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Incheon UnitedDLWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Gangwon FCIncheon United
41.4Attack41.4
67.8Defence62.1
48.3Form43.7
53.5Power50.8
1.02xG0.72