Gangwon FCvs
Gwangju FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/26/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gangwon FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gangwon FC 2-0 Gwangju FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangwon FC 2-2 Gwangju FC
Original prediction
Gangwon FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 62.0% | 73.2% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.8% | 18.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.53 | 14.2% | 8.2% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Projected Score
Gangwon FC 2–0 Gwangju FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Gangwon FC
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gangwon FCLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Gwangju FCLWLDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
40.6Attack16.7
68.1Defence30.6
50.7Form15.3
54.2Power24.4
1.97xG0.40