K League 1K League 1
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Gangwon FC

Gangwon FC

Home
L
20
Full time
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Away
DD
Chuncheon Songam Stadium
GoalVio prediction
57% confidence
Gangwon FC(57%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Gangwon FC
57%
Draw
26%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Gangwon FC
34
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
34
Defence
Gangwon FC
27
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
66
Momentum
Gangwon FC
0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
33
Danger (xG)
Gangwon FC
0.90
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Gangwon FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Gimcheon Sangmu FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Gangwon FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Gimcheon Sangmu FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Gangwon FCGangwon FC
LWW
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
DDLD

Probability breakdown

57% confidence
Gangwon FC57%
Draw26%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC17%

Gangwon FC leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Gangwon FC head into this in K League 1 fixture at Chuncheon Songam Stadium in mixed form (L), while Gimcheon Sangmu FC arrive in mixed form (DD). Gangwon FC have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC over 2 games.

The model rates Gangwon FC's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Gangwon FC backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Gangwon FC have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Gangwon FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Gangwon FC to win with 57% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Gangwon FC 5653%, Draw 2617%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1730%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Gangwon FC

Gangwon FC

L
@ Vietnam
13 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
17 May 2026
20
W
vs Daejeon Citizen
12 May 2026
20
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D
vs Bucheon FC 1995
11 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Jeju United FC
5 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Jeonbuk Motors
17 May 2026
01
D
@ FC Anyang
13 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Gangwon FC to win with 57% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more