GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 10/9/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gangwon FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Gangwon FC 1-0 Bucheon FC 1995, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Gangwon FC 2-0 Bucheon FC 1995

Original prediction

Gangwon FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7254.1%48.9%-5.2 pts
Draw3.5326.4%29.3%2.9 pts
Away4.7719.5%21.8%2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.2 pts

Projected Score

Gangwon FC 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Gangwon FC

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Gangwon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gangwon FCDLDDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bucheon FC 1995LDLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 1995
40.0Attack34.4
68.9Defence55.6
47.8Form35.6
53.3Power43.5
1.17xG0.57
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