GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/25/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gangneung City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gangneung City are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ulsan Citizen are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gangneung City hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the K3 League, while Gangneung City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gangneung City

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Gangneung City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gangneung CityWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Ulsan CitizenWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Gangneung CityUlsan Citizen
37.8Attack33.3
54.4Defence52.2
43.3Form37.8
46.9Power43.5
1.17xG0.82
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