Gangneung Cityvs
Siheung Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siheung Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gangneung City 0-1 Siheung Citizen, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangneung City 2-1 Siheung Citizen
Original prediction
Siheung Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.84 | 23.6% | 15.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 25.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.6% | 59.6% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Projected Score
Gangneung City 0–1 Siheung Citizen
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Siheung Citizen
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Siheung Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00