Gangneung Cityvs
Gyeongju HNP
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju HNP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangneung City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP
Original prediction
Gyeongju HNP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 25.7% | 28.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 27.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.4% | 44.9% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju HNP
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Gyeongju HNP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60