Gangneung Cityvs
Busan Transportation
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Busan Transportation · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gangneung City 0-1 Busan Transportation, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gangneung City 1-1 Busan Transportation
Original prediction
Busan Transportation
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.1% | 19.0% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.2% | 25.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.6% | 55.7% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Projected Score
Gangneung City 0–1 Busan Transportation
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Busan Transportation
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Busan Transportation has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80