Gandzasarvs
Sardarapat
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sardarapat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gandzasar 1-2 Sardarapat
Original prediction
Sardarapat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.7% | 22.6% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 21.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.4% | 55.8% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Sardarapat
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Sardarapat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60