Gamo Chenchavs
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gamo Chencha 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gamo Chencha 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.1% | 29.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.62 | 34.4% | 32.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 38.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw 1.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Gamo Chencha 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gamo ChenchaLL
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50
BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Ethiopia Nigd BankDWWDL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gamo ChenchaEthiopia Nigd Bank
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence88.9
0.0Form77.8
21.5Power70.7
0.69xG0.99