GGOALVIO

Gamle Oslo logoGamle OslovsBærum logoBærum

COMPLETED

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamle Oslo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-3 (7%), 3-3 (6%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gamle Oslo 2-2 Bærum

Original prediction

Gamle Oslo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.5%45.1%-0.4 pts
Draw4.3620.7%22.7%2.0 pts
Away2.6733.8%32.2%-1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–37%
  2. 2.3–36%
  3. 3.4–26%

Predicted outcome

Gamle Oslo

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Gamle Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamle OsloLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BærumWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gamle OsloBærum
98.6Attack91.7
38.9Defence36.1
61.1Form52.8
63.6Power57.4
4.34xG3.26
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