GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamla Upsala W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gamla Upsala W 1-1 Alingsås W

Original prediction

Gamla Upsala W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7832.3%41.1%8.8 pts
Draw3.3127.2%25.1%-2.1 pts
Away2.2240.5%33.8%-6.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.1–17%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Gamla Upsala W

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Gamla Upsala W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamla Upsala WWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alingsås WWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gamla Upsala WAlingsås W
60.3Attack50.0
37.2Defence33.3
48.7Form16.7
48.6Power36.5
2.39xG1.81
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