Gamba Osakavs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 28.1% | 20.7% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.2% | 24.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 43.8% | 54.9% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60