Gamba Osakavs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SCHEDULEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gamba Osaka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
12.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40