Gamba Osakavs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gamba Osaka 2-2 Kyoto Sanga
Original prediction
Gamba Osaka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.3% | 45.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.4% | 24.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 26.3% | 30.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20