Gamba Osakavs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gamba Osaka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20