Gamba Osakavs
FC Tokyo
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gamba Osaka 0-2 FC Tokyo
Original prediction
FC Tokyo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.69 | 25.4% | 27.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.4% | 24.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.2% | 47.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gamba OsakaLDDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
44.4Attack61.1
38.9Defence55.6
33.3Form61.1
41.9Power59.0
1.26xG1.79