GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gamba Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamba OsakaWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gamba OsakaFagiano Okayama
83.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power53.0
1.62xG1.23
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