Gamba Osakavs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gamba Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40