Gamba Osakavs
Công An Nhân Dân
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gamba Osaka 4-1 Công An Nhân Dân
Original prediction
Gamba Osaka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.9% | 44.0% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 20.3% | 26.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 6.22 | 14.8% | 29.9% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40