GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Gamba Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the J-League Cup, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamba OsakaDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cerezo OsakaDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gamba OsakaCerezo Osaka
33.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
41.7Form27.8
48.1Power34.5
1.14xG0.69
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