Gamba Osakavs
Cerezo Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gamba Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gamba Osaka
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
12.4%
Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40