GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gamba Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

12.4%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gamba OsakaLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerezo OsakaLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gamba OsakaCerezo Osaka
83.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.52xG1.49
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