Gamavs
Luverdense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gama are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
21.2%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00