Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Gama are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Inhumas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the Serie D, while Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
89.8%
Model confidence
18.4%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40