Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gama 0-0 ASA, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gama 0-0 ASA
Original prediction
Gama
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.6% | 42.8% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.62 | 34.6% | 31.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.8% | 25.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Gama 0–0 ASA
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Gama
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GamaLWDWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ASAWDDWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GamaASA
63.2Attack49.1
73.7Defence80.7
73.7Form64.9
70.3Power65.6
0.99xG0.70