Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gama U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Gama U20 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while ARUC U20 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gama U20 hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 6.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Brasiliense U20, while Gama U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gama U20
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Gama U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00