Galway Unitedvs
Waterford
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galway United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Galway United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Waterford are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Galway United hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier Division, while Galway United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Galway United
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40