Galway Unitedvs
St Patrick's Athl.
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galway United 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.96 | 18.6% | 20.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.7% | 24.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 57.6% | 54.9% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60