Galway Unitedvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galway United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne
Original prediction
Galway United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 36.3% | 38.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.9% | 25.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.8% | 36.4% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Galway United
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00