Galway Unitedvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galway United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galway United 1-1 Shelbourne
Original prediction
Galway United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.5% | 36.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 28.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.5% | 35.0% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Galway United
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20