Galway Unitedvs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galway United 2-0 Shamrock Rovers
Original prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.26 | 21.7% | 22.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.2% | 24.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 53.0% | 52.9% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20