GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/10/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galway United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Galway United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Galway United hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (84.3 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the First Division, while Galway United holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galway United

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Galway UnitedWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KerryDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Galway UnitedKerry
90.7Attack42.0
83.3Defence59.3
87.0Form43.2
84.3Power49.8
2.31xG0.55
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