GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 6/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Galway United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundalk

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Galway UnitedDLWLD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
DundalkWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Galway UnitedDundalk
42.3Attack51.9
48.7Defence49.4
38.5Form45.7
45.6Power50.5
1.35xG1.48
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