Galway Unitedvs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/6/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Galway United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dundalk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Premier Division, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00