Galway Unitedvs
Bohemians
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galway United 2-3 Bohemians
Original prediction
Bohemians
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 24.2% | 24.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.3% | 23.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 50.5% | 52.2% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40