Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guaporé · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Galvez are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guaporé are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guaporé hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Serie D, while Guaporé holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guaporé
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Guaporé has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40