Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Araguaína · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Galvez are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Araguaína are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Araguaína hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Serie D, while Araguaína holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Araguaína
Probability
81.1%
Model confidence
11.5%
Araguaína has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00