Galtabacksvs
Västra Frölunda
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Västra Frölunda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galtabacks 4-1 Västra Frölunda
Original prediction
Västra Frölunda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 29.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 20.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 50.0% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Västra Frölunda
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Västra Frölunda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00