Galtabacksvs
Hestrafor
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hestrafor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galtabacks 4-2 Hestrafor
Original prediction
Hestrafor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.0% | 29.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 19.5% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.2% | 51.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hestrafor
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Hestrafor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20