Galtabacksvs
Astrio
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galtabacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galtabacks 3-6 Astrio
Original prediction
Galtabacks
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.5% | 72.3% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 15.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 19.8% | 11.8% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Galtabacks
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Galtabacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80