GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Galatasaray are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tottenham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GalatasarayWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TottenhamWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GalatasarayTottenham
66.7Attack62.2
0.0Defence71.1
50.0Form73.3
42.7Power70.2
0.90xG2.02
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