GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/15/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Galatasaray are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Galatasaray holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galatasaray

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GalatasarayWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
GalatasaraySparta Praha
66.7Attack61.1
0.0Defence27.8
50.0Form44.4
42.7Power45.1
2.43xG1.85
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